Regina—Qu'Appelle
Federal riding · Saskatchewan · Regina and Saskatoon
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservative Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 14.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Conservative | Liberal | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regina—Qu'Appelle | 51.4% | 37.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% |
| Provincial averageSaskatchewan | 48.4%+2.9 | 34.9%+2.4 | 3.1%−0.4 | 1.7%+0.5 |
| National averageCanada | 30.4%+21.0 | 47.0%−9.6 | 11.8%−9.1 | 2.1%+0.1 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Andrew Scheer · Conservative
Previous election (2025)
The Conservative Party won by 36.7 points, with 65.2% turnout.
Our current projection: the Conservative Party ahead by 14.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Scheer Elected | Conservative | 27,024 | 63.5 | Parliamentarian |
| Rahima Mian | Liberal | 11,391 | 26.8 | Political Staffer |
| Chris Simmie | NDP | 3,388 | 8.0 | Freelancer |
| Dionne Fehler | PPC | 441 | 1.0 | Architectural Technologist |
| Other candidates | 327 | 0.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Regina—Wascana Liberal, safe seat
- Regina—Lewvan Liberal, safe seat
- Yorkton—Melville Conservative, safe seat
- Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan Conservative, safe seat
- Souris—Moose Mountain Conservative, safe seat
- Saskatoon South Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated