Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River
Federal riding · Saskatchewan · Rural Saskatchewan
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 58.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River | 68.7% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Provincial averageSaskatchewan | 34.9%+33.7 | 48.4%−38.6 | 3.1%+0.9 | 1.7%−0.4 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+21.7 | 30.4%−20.6 | 11.8%−7.8 | 2.1%−0.9 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Buckley Belanger · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Liberal Party won by 39.2 points, with 36.3% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 58.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buckley Belanger Elected | Liberal | 5,876 | 64.5 | Mayor |
| Jim Lemaigre | Conservative | 2,301 | 25.2 | Senior Advisor |
| Doug Racine | NDP | 850 | 9.3 | Lawyer |
| Other candidates | 90 | 1.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Prince Albert Conservative, safe seat
- Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake Conservative, safe seat
- Fort McMurray—Cold Lake Conservative, safe seat
- Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek Conservative, safe seat
- Lakeland Conservative, safe seat
- Saskatoon—University Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated