Mississauga—Streetsville
Federal riding · Ontario · Peel and Halton
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 14.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississauga—Streetsville | 50.9% | 36.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 48.6%+2.3 | 34.4%+1.6 | 5.4%−1.5 | 1.8%−0.1 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+3.9 | 30.4%+5.6 | 11.8%−7.9 | 2.1%−0.4 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Rechie Valdez · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Liberal Party won by 6.7 points, with 70.0% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 14.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rechie Valdez Elected | Liberal | 31,297 | 51.3 | Parliamentarian |
| Sue McFadden | Conservative | 27,241 | 44.6 | City Councillor |
| Bushra Asghar | NDP | 1,388 | 2.3 | Climate Campaigner |
| Chris Hill | Green | 439 | 0.7 | Retired |
| Logan Araujo | PPC | 366 | 0.6 | Business Analyst |
| Other candidates | 289 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Brampton South Liberal, safe seat
- Mississauga—Erin Mills Liberal, safe seat
- Mississauga Centre Liberal, safe seat
- Milton East—Halton Hills South Liberal, safe seat
- Mississauga—Malton Liberal, safe seat
- Mississauga East—Cooksville Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated