Mississauga East—Cooksville
Federal riding · Ontario · Peel and Halton
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 13.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississauga East—Cooksville | 49.3% | 35.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 48.6%+0.7 | 34.4%+1.1 | 5.4%−1.4 | 1.8%+1.1 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+2.3 | 30.4%+5.1 | 11.8%−7.8 | 2.1%+0.8 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Peter Fonseca · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Liberal Party won by 5.5 points, with 63.4% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 13.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Fonseca Elected | Liberal | 27,138 | 49.6 | Parliamentarian |
| Nita Kang | Conservative | 24,112 | 44.1 | Realtor |
| Khawar Hussain | NDP | 1,508 | 2.8 | Public Health Inspector |
| Amit Gupta | PPC | 964 | 1.8 | IT Consultant |
| Winston Harding | Independent | 221 | 0.4 | Writer |
| Dagmar Sullivan | Other | 113 | 0.2 | Retired Factory Worker |
| Other candidates | 614 | 1.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Mississauga Centre Liberal, safe seat
- Etobicoke Centre Liberal, safe seat
- Etobicoke—Lakeshore Liberal, safe seat
- Mississauga—Malton Liberal, safe seat
- Mississauga—Lakeshore Liberal, safe seat
- Mississauga—Erin Mills Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated