Brampton South
Federal riding · Ontario · Peel and Halton
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brampton South | 48.5% | 38.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 48.6%−0.1 | 34.4%+4.0 | 5.4%−1.6 | 1.8%+0.1 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+1.5 | 30.4%+8.1 | 11.8%−8.0 | 2.1%−0.2 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Sonia Sidhu · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Liberal Party won by 1.8 points, with 65.2% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 10.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonia Sidhu Elected | Liberal | 22,001 | 48.9 | Parliamentarian |
| Sukhdeep Kang | Conservative | 21,193 | 47.1 | Business Owner |
| Rajni Sharma | NDP | 777 | 1.7 | Social Service Worker |
| Vijay Kumar | PPC | 358 | 0.8 | Independent Owner |
| Manmohan Khroud | Independent | 274 | 0.6 | Realtor |
| Other candidates | 416 | 0.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Mississauga—Streetsville Liberal, safe seat
- Brampton West Liberal, competitive
- Brampton Centre Liberal, safe seat
- Brampton—Chinguacousy Park Liberal, safe seat
- Milton East—Halton Hills South Liberal, safe seat
- Mississauga—Malton Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated