Brampton Centre
Federal riding · Ontario · Peel and Halton
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 9.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brampton Centre | 47.6% | 37.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 48.6%−1.0 | 34.4%+3.5 | 5.4%−1.4 | 1.8% |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+0.6 | 30.4%+7.5 | 11.8%−7.8 | 2.1%−0.3 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Amandeep Sodhi · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Liberal Party won by 1.5 points, with 61.3% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 9.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amandeep Sodhi Elected | Liberal | 19,716 | 48.0 | Legal Assistant |
| Taran Chahal | Conservative | 19,105 | 46.5 | Manager, City of Brampton |
| Anil Boodhai | NDP | 1,085 | 2.6 | LINC |
| Ray Shaver | Green | 469 | 1.1 | Retired |
| Harsimran Kaur Hundal | PPC | 288 | 0.7 | Director |
| Taha Nazir | Other | 97 | 0.2 | Microbiologist |
| Other candidates | 341 | 0.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Brampton—Chinguacousy Park Liberal, safe seat
- Brampton West Liberal, competitive
- Brampton South Liberal, safe seat
- Brampton East Liberal, safe seat
- Brampton North—Caledon Liberal, safe seat
- Mississauga—Malton Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated