Brampton North—Caledon
Federal riding · Ontario · Peel and Halton
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 9.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brampton North—Caledon | 48.2% | 38.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 48.6%−0.4 | 34.4%+4.0 | 5.4%−1.5 | 1.8%+0.7 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+1.2 | 30.4%+8.0 | 11.8%−8.0 | 2.1%+0.4 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
|
|---|
Current member
Ruby Sahota · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Liberal Party won by 1.6 points, with 67.2% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 9.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruby Sahota Elected | Liberal | 22,847 | 48.6 | Lawyer |
| Amandeep Judge | Conservative | 22,105 | 47.0 | Realtor |
| Ruby Zaman | NDP | 1,008 | 2.1 | Truck Operator |
| Sat Anand | PPC | 635 | 1.3 | Quality Manager |
| Other candidates | 444 | 0.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Brampton West Liberal, competitive
- Brampton Centre Liberal, safe seat
- Brampton East Liberal, safe seat
- Brampton—Chinguacousy Park Liberal, safe seat
- Brampton South Liberal, safe seat
- Vaughan—Woodbridge Conservative, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated