Brampton West

Federal riding · Ontario · Peel and Halton

Forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 6.1 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 23%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2025 result.

	Liberal	Conservative	NDP	Green
Brampton West	46.8%	40.7%	3.8%	1.3%
Provincial averageOntario	48.6%−1.8	34.4%+6.3	5.4%−1.6	1.8%−0.5
National averageCanada	47.0%−0.2	30.4%+10.3	11.8%−8.0	2.4%−1.1

Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

Language spoken most often at home	English 61.0% Other languages (French included) 39.0%

Source: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census (single responses)

Amarjeet Gill · Conservative

In office since April 28, 2025. 45th Parliament.

The Conservative Party won by 2.1 points, with 64.2% turnout.

Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 6.1 points.

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Amarjeet Gill Elected	Conservative	21,112	49.3	Real Estate Appraisal Professional
Kamal Khera	Liberal	20,194	47.1	Parliamentarian
Zaigham Javed	NDP	708	1.7	Small Business Owner
Sameera Khan	Green	278	0.6	Student Recruitment Officer
Khawaja Amir Hassan	Other	95	0.2	Accountant
Other candidates		445	1.0

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.