Vimy
Federal riding · Quebec
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 26.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | Bloc | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vimy | 52.9% | 26.8% | 16.8% | 4.3% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 43.6%+9.4 | 24.2%+2.6 | 27.3%−10.5 | 5.7%−1.5 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+5.9 | 30.4%−3.6 | 6.3%+10.5 | 11.8%−7.6 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Annie Koutrakis · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Liberal Party won by 28.0 points, with 60.2% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 26.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Koutrakis Elected | Liberal | 26,531 | 52.2 | Parliamentarian |
| Grace Daou | Conservative | 12,278 | 24.1 | Biochemist |
| Alicia Parenteau-Malakhanian | Bloc | 8,526 | 16.8 | Aesthetician |
| Cindy Mercer | NDP | 2,342 | 4.6 | Dental Hygienist |
| Other candidates | 1,188 | 2.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Ahuntsic-Cartierville Liberal, safe seat
- Marc-Aurèle-Fortin Liberal, safe seat
- Saint-Laurent Liberal, safe seat
- Bourassa Liberal, safe seat
- Alfred-Pellan Liberal, safe seat
- Laval—Les Îles Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated