Terrebonne
Federal riding · Quebec
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a 77% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.8 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 85%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Bloc | Conservative | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrebonne | 48.1% | 46.1% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 43.6%+4.6 | 27.3%+18.8 | 24.2%−17.2 | 5.7%−2.1 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+1.1 | 6.3%+39.8 | 30.4%−23.5 | 11.8%−8.2 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Tatiana Auguste · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Liberal Party won by 0.0 points, with 67.9% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 2.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatiana Auguste Elected | Liberal | 23,352 | 38.2 | Political Attaché |
| Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné | Bloc | 23,351 | 38.2 | Economist |
| Adrienne Charles | Conservative | 10,961 | 17.9 | Teacher |
| Maxime Beaudoin | NDP | 1,556 | 2.5 | Union Advisor |
| Benjamin Rankin | Green | 630 | 1.0 | Architect |
| Maria Cantore | PPC | 428 | 0.7 | Fashion Designer |
| Other candidates | 837 | 1.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Thérèse-De Blainville Liberal, safe seat
- Alfred-Pellan Liberal, safe seat
- Montcalm Bloc, safe seat
- Honoré-Mercier Liberal, safe seat
- Marc-Aurèle-Fortin Liberal, safe seat
- Bourassa Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated