Rivière-du-Nord
Federal riding · Quebec
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Bloc Québécois a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| Bloc | Liberal | Conservative | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rivière-du-Nord | 43.3% | 31.7% | 21.7% | 6.5% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.3%+16.0 | 43.6%−11.9 | 24.2%−2.5 | 5.7%+0.8 |
| National averageCanada | 6.3%+37.0 | 47.0%−15.4 | 30.4%−8.7 | 11.8%−5.3 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Rhéal Éloi Fortin · Bloc
Previous election (2025)
The Bloc Québécois won by 12.0 points, with 63.3% turnout.
Our current projection: the Bloc Québécois ahead by 11.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhéal Fortin Elected | Bloc | 25,438 | 42.9 | Parliamentarian |
| Mary-Helen Walton | Liberal | 18,345 | 30.9 | Marketing Agency CEO |
| Patricia Morrissette | Conservative | 12,203 | 20.6 | Administrative Agent |
| Christel Marchand | NDP | 2,032 | 3.4 | Manager |
| Other candidates | 1,347 | 2.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Thérèse-De Blainville Liberal, safe seat
- Les Pays-d'en-Haut Liberal, toss-up
- Terrebonne Liberal, toss-up
- Mirabel Bloc, toss-up
- Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Liberal, safe seat
- Montcalm Bloc, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated