Rivière-des-Mille-Îles
Federal riding · Quebec
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 13.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Bloc | Conservative | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rivière-des-Mille-Îles | 45.7% | 32.4% | 19.7% | 3.6% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 43.6%+2.2 | 27.3%+5.1 | 24.2%−4.4 | 5.7%−2.1 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%−1.3 | 6.3%+26.1 | 30.4%−10.7 | 11.8%−8.2 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
|
|---|
Current member
Linda Lapointe · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Liberal Party won by 12.6 points, with 71.8% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 13.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linda Lapointe Elected | Liberal | 27,326 | 45.0 | Parliamentarian |
| Luc Desilets | Bloc | 19,669 | 32.4 | School Principal |
| Elia Lopez | Conservative | 10,398 | 17.1 | Public Affairs Consultant |
| Joseph Hakizimana | NDP | 1,270 | 2.1 | Manager |
| Alec Ware | Green | 734 | 1.2 | Nurse |
| David Santamaria Quiceno | PPC | 306 | 0.5 | Strategic Consultant |
| Michel Genois | Independent | 184 | 0.3 | Business Development Consultant |
| Other candidates | 864 | 1.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Laval—Les Îles Liberal, safe seat
- Marc-Aurèle-Fortin Liberal, safe seat
- Thérèse-De Blainville Liberal, safe seat
- Pierrefonds—Dollard Liberal, safe seat
- Vimy Liberal, safe seat
- Mirabel Bloc, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated