Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères
Federal riding · Quebec
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Bloc Québécois a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 6.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 25%.
Compared with the average
| Bloc | Liberal | Conservative | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères | 45.9% | 39.1% | 12.8% | 5.5% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.3%+18.6 | 43.6%−4.5 | 24.2%−11.4 | 5.7%−0.2 |
| National averageCanada | 6.3%+39.6 | 47.0%−8.0 | 30.4%−17.6 | 11.8%−6.3 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Xavier Barsalou-Duval · Bloc
Previous election (2025)
The Bloc Québécois won by 7.2 points, with 76.3% turnout.
Our current projection: the Bloc Québécois ahead by 6.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Barsalou-Duval Elected | Bloc | 28,765 | 45.5 | Parliamentarian |
| Laurent de Casanove | Liberal | 24,217 | 38.3 | Press Attaché |
| Vincent Kunda | Conservative | 7,375 | 11.7 | Student |
| Jean-François Filion | NDP | 1,541 | 2.4 | Teacher |
| Alexandre Blais | PPC | 528 | 0.8 | Carpenter |
| Other candidates | 794 | 1.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Repentigny Bloc, toss-up
- La Pointe-de-l'Île Bloc, toss-up
- Mont-Saint-Bruno—L'Acadie Liberal, safe seat
- Honoré-Mercier Liberal, safe seat
- Beloeil—Chambly Bloc, safe seat
- Longueuil—Saint-Hubert Liberal, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated