Beloeil—Chambly
Federal riding · Quebec
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Bloc Québécois a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 13.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Bloc | Liberal | Conservative | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beloeil—Chambly | 47.6% | 34.3% | 15.2% | 6.6% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.3%+20.4 | 43.6%−9.2 | 24.2%−9.0 | 5.7%+0.9 |
| National averageCanada | 6.3%+41.3 | 47.0%−12.7 | 30.4%−15.2 | 11.8%−5.2 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Yves-François Blanchet · Bloc
Previous election (2025)
The Bloc Québécois won by 14.1 points, with 75.4% turnout.
Our current projection: the Bloc Québécois ahead by 13.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yves-François Blanchet Elected | Bloc | 32,844 | 47.7 | Anthropologist |
| Nicholas Malouin | Liberal | 23,136 | 33.6 | Political Advisor |
| Sylvain Goulet | Conservative | 9,199 | 13.3 | Financial Security Advisor |
| Marie-Josée Béliveau | NDP | 2,391 | 3.5 | Ethnogeographer |
| Nicholas Manes | PPC | 482 | 0.7 | Manager |
| Other candidates | 876 | 1.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Mont-Saint-Bruno—L'Acadie Liberal, safe seat
- Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne Liberal, safe seat
- Longueuil—Saint-Hubert Liberal, toss-up
- Brossard—Saint-Lambert Liberal, safe seat
- Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères Bloc, competitive
- Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated