Brossard—Saint-Lambert
Federal riding · Quebec
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 41.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | Bloc | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brossard—Saint-Lambert | 62.3% | 21.3% | 13.2% | 4.0% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 43.6%+18.7 | 24.2%−2.9 | 27.3%−14.1 | 5.7%−1.7 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+15.3 | 30.4%−9.1 | 6.3%+6.9 | 11.8%−7.8 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Alexandra Mendès · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Liberal Party won by 42.9 points, with 68.2% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 41.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Mendès Elected | Liberal | 36,541 | 61.6 | Parliamentarian |
| William Huynh-Jan | Conservative | 11,076 | 18.7 | Operations Manager |
| Soledad Orihuela-Bouchard | Bloc | 7,837 | 13.2 | Teacher |
| Zeinab Mistou Akkaoui | NDP | 2,049 | 3.5 | Volunteer |
| Gregory De Luca | Green | 855 | 1.4 | Director of Continuing Education |
| Hector Huerta | PPC | 381 | 0.6 | Healthcare Administration Technician |
| Other candidates | 629 | 1.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne Liberal, safe seat
- Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs Liberal, safe seat
- Longueuil—Saint-Hubert Liberal, toss-up
- Laurier—Sainte-Marie Liberal, safe seat
- LaSalle—Émard—Verdun Liberal, safe seat
- Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated