Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount
Federal riding · Quebec
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 42.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Bloc | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount | 64.3% | 22.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 43.6%+20.8 | 24.2%−2.2 | 5.7%−0.8 | 27.3%−22.3 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+17.3 | 30.4%−8.4 | 11.8%−6.9 | 6.3%−1.4 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Anna Gainey · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Liberal Party won by 43.9 points, with 67.2% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 42.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Gainey Elected | Liberal | 34,226 | 63.4 | Parliamentarian |
| Neil Drabkin | Conservative | 10,517 | 19.5 | Lawyer |
| Malcolm Lewis-Richmond | NDP | 3,956 | 7.3 | Senior Officer Political Action and Mobilization |
| Félix-Antoine Brault | Bloc | 2,652 | 4.9 | Specialized French Tutor |
| Arnold Downey | Green | 1,331 | 2.5 | Chemist |
| Alex Trainman Montagano | Independent | 264 | 0.5 | General Contractor |
| Marc Perez | PPC | 256 | 0.5 | Digital Marketer |
| Rachel Hoffman | Other | 162 | 0.3 | Graphic Designer |
| Stephen Hensley | Other | 126 | 0.2 | CPQ Technician |
| Other candidates | 486 | 0.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Mount Royal Liberal, safe seat
- Outremont Liberal, safe seat
- LaSalle—Émard—Verdun Liberal, safe seat
- Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs Liberal, safe seat
- Laurier—Sainte-Marie Liberal, safe seat
- Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie NDP, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated