La Pointe-de-l'Île
Federal riding · Quebec
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Bloc Québécois a 95% chance of winning, with an average lead of 4.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 56%.
Compared with the average
| Bloc | Liberal | Conservative | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Pointe-de-l'Île | 42.3% | 37.8% | 14.7% | 7.3% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.3%+15.1 | 43.6%−5.8 | 24.2%−9.4 | 5.7%+1.6 |
| National averageCanada | 6.3%+36.0 | 47.0%−9.3 | 30.4%−15.7 | 11.8%−4.5 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Mario Beaulieu · Bloc
Previous election (2025)
The Bloc Québécois won by 5.3 points, with 65.0% turnout.
Our current projection: the Bloc Québécois ahead by 4.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Beaulieu Elected | Bloc | 22,940 | 42.3 | Educator |
| Viviane Minko | Liberal | 20,051 | 37.0 | Human Resources Administrative Assistant |
| Violetta Potapova | Conservative | 6,781 | 12.5 | Marketing Manager |
| Ghada Chaabi | NDP | 2,279 | 4.2 | Daycare Operator |
| Olivier Huard | Green | 977 | 1.8 | Arborist |
| Geneviève Royer | Other | 181 | 0.3 | Special Education Teacher |
| Other candidates | 984 | 1.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Honoré-Mercier Liberal, safe seat
- Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est Liberal, safe seat
- Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel Liberal, safe seat
- Bourassa Liberal, safe seat
- Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie NDP, safe seat
- Papineau Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated