Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk
Federal riding · Quebec
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservative Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 12.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Conservative | Liberal | Bloc | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk | 45.4% | 33.3% | 19.1% | 3.7% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 24.2%+21.2 | 43.6%−10.3 | 27.3%−8.2 | 5.7%−2.0 |
| National averageCanada | 30.4%+15.0 | 47.0%−13.8 | 6.3%+12.8 | 11.8%−8.1 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
|
|---|
Current member
Gérard Deltell · Conservative
Previous election (2025)
The Conservative Party won by 11.7 points, with 72.7% turnout.
Our current projection: the Conservative Party ahead by 12.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gérard Deltell Elected | Conservative | 29,525 | 44.2 | Parliamentarian |
| Rhode-Malaure Pierre | Liberal | 21,693 | 32.5 | Univeristy Student |
| Martin Trudel | Bloc | 12,465 | 18.7 | Union Vice President |
| Colette Ducharme | NDP | 1,607 | 2.4 | Retired |
| Anthony Leclerc | PPC | 527 | 0.8 | Labour Inspector |
| Other candidates | 921 | 1.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles Conservative, safe seat
- Louis-Hébert Liberal, safe seat
- Québec Centre Liberal, safe seat
- Beauport—Limoilou Liberal, toss-up
- Lévis—Lotbinière Conservative, safe seat
- Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier Conservative, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated