Lac-Saint-Jean
Federal riding · Quebec
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Bloc Québécois a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 19.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Bloc | Liberal | Conservative | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lac-Saint-Jean | 46.0% | 26.6% | 25.5% | 4.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.3%+18.7 | 43.6%−16.9 | 24.2%+1.3 | 5.7%−0.9 |
| National averageCanada | 6.3%+39.7 | 47.0%−20.4 | 30.4%−4.9 | 11.8%−7.0 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe · Bloc
Previous election (2025)
The Bloc Québécois won by 19.7 points, with 64.0% turnout.
Our current projection: the Bloc Québécois ahead by 19.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe Elected | Bloc | 22,069 | 45.6 | Parliamentarian |
| Denis Lemieux | Liberal | 12,536 | 25.9 | Retired |
| Dave Blackburn | Conservative | 11,792 | 24.3 | Professor |
| Hugues Boily-Maltais | NDP | 819 | 1.7 | Social Worker |
| Lorie Bouchard | PPC | 540 | 1.1 | Teacher |
| Other candidates | 694 | 1.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Jonquière Bloc, safe seat
- Saint-Maurice—Champlain Liberal, safe seat
- Chicoutimi—Le Fjord Liberal, safe seat
- Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier Conservative, safe seat
- Montmorency—Charlevoix Conservative, toss-up
- Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles Conservative, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated