La Prairie—Atateken
Federal riding · Quebec
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 9.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 4%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Bloc | Conservative | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Prairie—Atateken | 44.3% | 34.4% | 19.7% | 3.7% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 43.6%+0.7 | 27.3%+7.1 | 24.2%−4.5 | 5.7%−2.0 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%−2.7 | 6.3%+28.1 | 30.4%−10.8 | 11.8%−8.1 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Jacques Ramsay · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Liberal Party won by 9.2 points, with 72.9% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 9.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacques Ramsay Elected | Liberal | 29,418 | 43.6 | Family Physician |
| Alain Therrien | Bloc | 23,232 | 34.4 | Teacher |
| Dave Pouliot | Conservative | 11,505 | 17.0 | Lawyer |
| Mathieu Boisvert | NDP | 1,588 | 2.4 | Political Assistant |
| Barbara Joannette | Green | 657 | 1.0 | Municipal Employee |
| Ruth Fontaine | PPC | 361 | 0.5 | Representative |
| Other candidates | 789 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- LaSalle—Émard—Verdun Liberal, safe seat
- Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs Liberal, safe seat
- Brossard—Saint-Lambert Liberal, safe seat
- Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount Liberal, safe seat
- Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne Liberal, safe seat
- Mount Royal Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated