Drummond
Federal riding · Quebec
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Bloc Québécois a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 13.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Bloc | Liberal | Conservative | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drummond | 42.4% | 28.7% | 23.4% | 7.7% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.3%+15.1 | 43.6%−14.9 | 24.2%−0.8 | 5.7%+1.9 |
| National averageCanada | 6.3%+36.1 | 47.0%−18.4 | 30.4%−7.0 | 11.8%−4.2 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Martin Champoux · Bloc
Previous election (2025)
The Bloc Québécois won by 14.1 points, with 65.0% turnout.
Our current projection: the Bloc Québécois ahead by 13.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Champoux Elected | Bloc | 24,071 | 42.0 | Parliamentarian |
| Ghada Jerbi | Liberal | 15,998 | 27.9 | Medical Physicist |
| François Fréchette | Conservative | 12,790 | 22.3 | Correctional Service Canada (Retired) |
| François Choquette | NDP | 2,607 | 4.5 | Teacher |
| William Trottier | PPC | 773 | 1.3 | Building Systems Technician |
| Other candidates | 1,100 | 1.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton Bloc, safe seat
- Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak Bloc, safe seat
- Shefford Bloc, toss-up
- Richmond—Arthabaska Conservative, toss-up
- Trois-Rivières Liberal, safe seat
- Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères Bloc, competitive
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated