Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle

Federal riding · Quebec

Forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 36.3 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2025 result.

	Liberal	Conservative	Bloc	NDP
Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle	59.4%	23.1%	12.4%	4.1%
Provincial averageQuebec	43.6%+15.8	24.2%−1.1	27.3%−14.9	5.7%−1.6
National averageCanada	47.0%+12.4	30.4%−7.3	6.3%+6.1	11.8%−7.7

Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

Language spoken most often at home	French 40.8% English 39.1% Other languages 20.1%

Source: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census (single responses)

Anju Dhillon · Liberal

In office since April 28, 2025. 45th Parliament.

The Liberal Party won by 38.2 points, with 63.4% turnout.

Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 36.3 points.

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Anju Dhillon Elected	Liberal	29,927	58.6	Lawyer
Alioune Sarr	Conservative	10,428	20.4	Director of Finance
Pauline Fleur Julie Postel	Bloc	6,338	12.4	Orderly
Angélique Soleil Lavoie	NDP	2,104	4.1	Teacher
Amir Badr Eldeen	Green	823	1.6	Student
Michael Patterson	PPC	478	0.9	Senior Communications Advisor
André Lavigne	Other	251	0.5	Retired
Katy Le Rougetel	Independent	71	0.1	General Labour - Production
Other candidates		615	1.2

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.