Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan
Federal riding · Quebec
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Bloc Québécois a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 15.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Bloc | Liberal | Conservative | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan | 43.1% | 27.8% | 27.0% | 4.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.3%+15.8 | 43.6%−15.8 | 24.2%+2.8 | 5.7%−0.9 |
| National averageCanada | 6.3%+36.8 | 47.0%−19.3 | 30.4%−3.4 | 11.8%−7.0 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Marilène Gill · Bloc
Previous election (2025)
The Bloc Québécois won by 16.1 points, with 52.9% turnout.
Our current projection: the Bloc Québécois ahead by 15.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marilène Gill Elected | Bloc | 16,243 | 43.1 | Teacher |
| Kevin Coutu | Liberal | 10,185 | 27.0 | Lawyer |
| Mélanie Dorion | Conservative | 9,365 | 24.8 | Entrepreneur |
| Marika Lalime | NDP | 640 | 1.7 | Law Student |
| Sébastien Beaulieu | Other | 557 | 1.5 | Marketing Agent |
| Gilles Babin | Independent | 193 | 0.5 | Self-Employed |
| Other candidates | 539 | 1.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj Bloc, competitive
- Acadie—Bathurst Liberal, safe seat
- Rimouski—La Matapédia Bloc, safe seat
- Long Range Mountains Liberal, toss-up
- Labrador Liberal, safe seat
- Madawaska—Restigouche Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated