Brome—Missisquoi

Federal riding · Quebec

Forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 20.7 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2025 result.

	Liberal	Bloc	Conservative	NDP
Brome—Missisquoi	48.4%	27.7%	21.2%	3.7%
Provincial averageQuebec	43.6%+4.9	27.3%+0.4	24.2%−3.0	5.7%−2.1
National averageCanada	47.0%+1.4	6.3%+21.4	30.4%−9.2	11.8%−8.2

Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

Language spoken most often at home	French 85.8% English 13.4% Other languages 0.8%

Source: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census (single responses)

Louis Villeneuve · Liberal

In office since April 28, 2025. 45th Parliament.

The Liberal Party won by 20.0 points, with 72.4% turnout.

Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 20.7 points.

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Louis Villeneuve Elected	Liberal	34,727	47.7	MAyor
Jeff Boudreault	Bloc	20,182	27.7	Comedian
Steve Charbonneau	Conservative	13,743	18.9	Administrator
Zoé Larose	NDP	1,600	2.2	Store Manager
Michelle Corcos	Green	1,139	1.6	Acupuncturist
Jack McLeod	PPC	561	0.8	Programmer Analyst
Other candidates		881	1.2

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.