Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon

Federal riding · Quebec

Forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the Bloc Québécois a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.9 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 2%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2025 result.

	Bloc	Liberal	Conservative	NDP
Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon	43.3%	32.4%	21.2%	5.5%
Provincial averageQuebec	27.3%+16.0	43.6%−11.2	24.2%−3.0	5.7%−0.2
National averageCanada	6.3%+37.0	47.0%−14.6	30.4%−9.2	11.8%−6.3

Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

Language spoken most often at home	French 89.4% English 9.5% Other languages 1.1%

Source: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census (single responses)

Claude DeBellefeuille · Bloc

In office since April 28, 2025. 45th Parliament.

The Bloc Québécois won by 11.6 points, with 67.1% turnout.

Our current projection: the Bloc Québécois ahead by 10.9 points.

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Claude Debellefeuille Elected	Bloc	30,005	43.3	Social Worker
Miguel Perras	Liberal	21,939	31.6	Student
Priska St-Pierre	Conservative	13,230	19.1	National Trainer - PSP
Tyler Jones	NDP	1,663	2.4	Courier Driver
Kristian Solarik	Green	802	1.2	Sales Representative
Martin Lévesque	PPC	675	1.0	Refrigeration Mechanic
Other candidates		1,030	1.5

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.