Beauséjour
Federal riding · New Brunswick · Atlantic Canada
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 37.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beauséjour | 61.7% | 23.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% |
| Provincial averageNew Brunswick | 55.2%+6.5 | 31.9%−8.1 | 3.5%−0.8 | 2.2%+0.5 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+14.7 | 30.4%−6.6 | 11.8%−9.1 | 2.4%+0.3 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Dominic LeBlanc · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Liberal Party won by 27.1 points, with 77.0% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 37.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic LeBlanc Elected | Liberal | 36,139 | 60.3 | Parliamentarian |
| Nathalie Vautour | Conservative | 19,862 | 33.1 | Business Owner |
| Alex Gagne | NDP | 1,448 | 2.4 | Technical Support |
| Josh Shaddick | Green | 1,291 | 2.2 | Regional Manager |
| Eddie Cornell | PPC | 503 | 0.8 | Retired |
| Donna Allen | Other | 388 | 0.6 | Labourer |
| Other candidates | 351 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Moncton—Dieppe Liberal, safe seat
- Egmont Liberal, safe seat
- Fundy Royal Conservative, toss-up
- Malpeque Liberal, safe seat
- Cumberland—Colchester Liberal, safe seat
- Charlottetown Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated