Egmont
Federal riding · Prince Edward Island · Atlantic Canada
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 19.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | Green | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egmont | 52.9% | 33.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% |
| Provincial averagePrince Edward Island | 59.4%−6.5 | 27.1%+6.6 | 2.7%+0.1 | 3.2%−0.5 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+5.9 | 30.4%+3.3 | 2.4%+0.4 | 11.8%−9.1 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Robert Morrissey · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Liberal Party won by 8.4 points, with 77.3% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 19.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Morrissey Elected | Liberal | 12,466 | 51.4 | Parliamentarian |
| Logan McLellan | Conservative | 10,419 | 43.0 | Financial Advisor |
| Carol Rybinski | NDP | 585 | 2.4 | Restaurant Owner |
| Ranald MacFarlane | Green | 538 | 2.2 | Farmer |
| Other candidates | 240 | 1.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Beauséjour Liberal, safe seat
- Malpeque Liberal, safe seat
- Moncton—Dieppe Liberal, safe seat
- Charlottetown Liberal, safe seat
- Cumberland—Colchester Liberal, safe seat
- Fundy Royal Conservative, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated