Sydney—Glace Bay
Federal riding · Nova Scotia · Atlantic Canada
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 27.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney—Glace Bay | 56.8% | 29.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Provincial averageNova Scotia | 59.0%−2.2 | 26.6%+2.9 | 4.4%−0.8 | 1.0%+0.3 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+9.8 | 30.4%−0.9 | 11.8%−8.2 | 2.1%−0.8 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
|
|---|
Current member
Mike Kelloway · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Liberal Party won by 16.4 points, with 69.2% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 27.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Kelloway Elected | Liberal | 25,766 | 54.2 | Parliamentarian |
| Anna Manley | Conservative | 17,978 | 37.8 | Lawyer |
| Kimberly Losier | NDP | 1,789 | 3.8 | Supervisor of Counter Services |
| Joe Ward | Independent | 601 | 1.3 | Software Developer |
| Jeffrey Evely | PPC | 589 | 1.2 | Retired Veteran |
| Michael Pittman | Other | 189 | 0.4 | Driver |
| Chris Gallant | Other | 169 | 0.4 | Teacher |
| Nik Boisvert | Other | 85 | 0.2 | Production Assistant |
| Other candidates | 373 | 0.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish Liberal, safe seat
- Central Nova Liberal, safe seat
- Cardigan Liberal, safe seat
- Charlottetown Liberal, safe seat
- Halifax Liberal, safe seat
- Malpeque Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated