Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish
Federal riding · Nova Scotia · Atlantic Canada
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 19.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish | 52.8% | 33.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Provincial averageNova Scotia | 59.0%−6.3 | 26.6%+7.1 | 4.4%−1.3 | 1.0%−0.2 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+5.8 | 30.4%+3.3 | 11.8%−8.7 | 2.1%−1.3 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Jaime Battiste · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Liberal Party won by 8.3 points, with 75.1% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 19.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaime Battiste Elected | Liberal | 24,908 | 51.3 | Parliamentarian |
| Allan MacMaster | Conservative | 20,870 | 43.0 | Provincial Parliamentarian |
| Joanna Clark | NDP | 1,930 | 4.0 | Teacher |
| Ryan Smyth | PPC | 333 | 0.7 | Self-Employed |
| Rebecca Wall | Independent | 237 | 0.5 | Media |
| Other candidates | 285 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Sydney—Glace Bay Liberal, safe seat
- Cardigan Liberal, safe seat
- Central Nova Liberal, safe seat
- Charlottetown Liberal, safe seat
- Malpeque Liberal, safe seat
- Cumberland—Colchester Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated