Sackville—Bedford—Preston
Federal riding · Nova Scotia · Atlantic Canada
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 40.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sackville—Bedford—Preston | 64.2% | 23.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Provincial averageNova Scotia | 59.0%+5.1 | 26.6%−2.7 | 4.4%−0.8 | 1.5% |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+17.2 | 30.4%−6.5 | 11.8%−8.2 | 2.4%−0.9 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Braedon Clark · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Liberal Party won by 29.4 points, with 72.8% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 40.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braedon Clark Elected | Liberal | 36,062 | 61.5 | Political Staffer |
| Dave Carroll | Conservative | 18,860 | 32.2 | Creative Entrepreneur |
| Isaac Wilson | NDP | 2,324 | 4.0 | Pharmacist |
| Andre Anderson | Green | 526 | 0.9 | Filmmaker |
| Ryan Slaney | PPC | 418 | 0.7 | Security Analyst |
| Other candidates | 419 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Dartmouth—Cole Harbour Liberal, safe seat
- Halifax West Liberal, safe seat
- Kings—Hants Liberal, safe seat
- Cumberland—Colchester Liberal, safe seat
- Central Nova Liberal, safe seat
- South Shore—St. Margarets Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated