Kings—Hants
Federal riding · Nova Scotia · Atlantic Canada
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 37.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings—Hants | 61.6% | 23.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageNova Scotia | 59.0%+2.6 | 26.6%−2.7 | 4.4%−1.4 | 1.5%+0.5 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+14.6 | 30.4%−6.5 | 11.8%−8.8 | 2.4%−0.4 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Kody Blois · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Liberal Party won by 27.0 points, with 72.4% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 37.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kody Blois Elected | Liberal | 35,836 | 60.2 | Parliamentarian |
| Joel Hirtle | Conservative | 19,773 | 33.2 | Tire Builder |
| Paul Doerr | NDP | 2,154 | 3.6 | University Professor |
| Karen Beazley | Green | 825 | 1.4 | Retired |
| Alexander Cargill | PPC | 591 | 1.0 | Audiovisual Technician |
| Other candidates | 389 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Sackville—Bedford—Preston Liberal, safe seat
- Halifax West Liberal, safe seat
- Dartmouth—Cole Harbour Liberal, safe seat
- Cumberland—Colchester Liberal, safe seat
- Fundy Royal Conservative, toss-up
- South Shore—St. Margarets Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated