Acadie—Annapolis
Federal riding · Nova Scotia · Atlantic Canada
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 9.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acadie—Annapolis | 48.1% | 38.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Provincial averageNova Scotia | 59.0%−11.0 | 26.6%+11.8 | 4.4%−1.4 | 1.5%+0.3 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+1.1 | 30.4%+8.0 | 11.8%−8.7 | 2.4%−0.6 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Chris d'Entremont · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Conservative Party won by 1.1 points, with 72.1% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 9.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris d'Entremont Elected | Conservative | 23,024 | 47.7 | Parliamentarian |
| Ronnie LeBlanc | Liberal | 22,491 | 46.6 | Provincial & Municipal Politician |
| Ingrid Deon | NDP | 1,768 | 3.7 | Chief Executive Officer |
| Matthew Piggott | Green | 583 | 1.2 | Self-Employed |
| James Strange | PPC | 432 | 0.9 | Director of Finance |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- South Shore—St. Margarets Liberal, safe seat
- Saint John—Kennebecasis Liberal, safe seat
- Saint John—St. Croix Liberal, toss-up
- Halifax West Liberal, safe seat
- Kings—Hants Liberal, safe seat
- Fundy Royal Conservative, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated