Riding profile

Burnaby Centre

Provincial riding — BC · Metro Vancouver

The question

Burnaby Centre: a safe seat for the NDP?

Current forecast

NDP

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
11.3
P(close race)
1%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • NDP 51.5%
  • Con 40.2%
  • OneBC 3.1%
  • CentreBC 2.8%
  • GP 2.4%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Surrey-FleetwoodNDP58 %2.0 pt margin
  2. Cowichan ValleyCon54 %2.0 pt margin
  3. Vancouver-LangaraCon62 %2.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

NDP Con OneBC CentreBC
HereBurnaby Centre 51.5%40.2%3.1%2.8%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 39.5% +11.9 42.4% −2.2 3.4% −0.4 3.2% −0.4

Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Burnaby Centre, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 15-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the NDP ahead at 51% vote share, against 40% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Anne Kang

Sits with NDP

Parliament
43th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
NDP
Margin
14.6 pts
Turnout
50.1%
Margin shift vs current projection
-3.3 pts

Detailed result · BC 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Anne Kang Elected NDP — 57.3 —
Dharam Kajal Con — 42.7 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
bc_44