Glasgow North East
Westminster constituency · Scotland
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the SNP a 98% chance of winning, with an average lead of 5.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 35%.
Compared with the average
| SNP | Labour | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glasgow North East | 32.0% | 26.1% | 18.3% | 12.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 2.9%+29.0 | 24.3%+1.9 | 23.1%−4.7 | 10.4%+1.7 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Employment rate | 68.8% |
|---|
Current member
Maureen Burke · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 13.6 points.
Our current projection: the SNP ahead by 5.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maureen Burke Elected | Labour | 15,639 | 45.9 |
| Anne McLaughlin | SNP | 11,002 | 32.3 |
| Ewan Lewis | Green | 2,471 | 7.2 |
| Jonathan Walmsley | Reform UK | 2,272 | 6.7 |
| Robert Connelly | Conservative | 1,182 | 3.5 |
| Sheila Thomson | Lib Dems | 592 | 1.7 |
| Catherine McKernan | Other | 551 | 1.6 |
| Chris Sermanni | Other | 236 | 0.7 |
| Gary Steele | Other | 146 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Rutherglen SNP, competitive
- Glasgow East SNP, safe seat
- Glasgow North SNP, toss-up
- Coatbridge and Bellshill SNP, safe seat
- Mid Dunbartonshire Lib Dems, safe seat
- Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch SNP, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated