Glasgow East

Westminster constituency · Scotland

Forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the SNP a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.5 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

	SNP	Labour	Reform UK	Green
Glasgow East	34.3%	22.8%	18.6%	12.5%
National averageUnited Kingdom	2.9%+31.4	24.3%−1.5	23.1%−4.5	10.4%+2.1

Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.

Employment rate	63.5%

Source: Office for National Statistics: mid-2022 population, January 2026 labour market

John Grady · Labour

In office since July 4, 2024. 59th Parliament.

Labour won by 10.7 points.

Our current projection: the SNP ahead by 11.5 points.

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
John Grady Elected	Labour	15,543	43.9
David Linden	SNP	11,759	33.2
Amy Kettyles	Green	2,727	7.7
Donnie McLeod	Reform UK	2,371	6.7
Thomas Kerr	Conservative	1,707	4.8
Matthew Clark	Lib Dems	872	2.5
Liam McLaughlan	Other	466	1.3

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.