Glasgow North
Westminster constituency · Scotland
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the SNP a 98% chance of winning, with an average lead of 5.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 39%.
Compared with the average
| SNP | Labour | Green | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glasgow North | 29.7% | 24.2% | 18.3% | 15.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 2.9%+26.7 | 24.3%−0.1 | 10.4%+7.9 | 23.1%−8.1 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Employment rate | 58.1% |
|---|
Current member
Martin Rhodes · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 10.2 points.
Our current projection: the SNP ahead by 5.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Rhodes Elected | Labour | 14,655 | 42.2 |
| Alison Thewliss | SNP | 11,116 | 32.0 |
| Iris Duane | Green | 4,233 | 12.2 |
| Helen Burns | Reform UK | 1,655 | 4.8 |
| Naveed Asghar | Conservative | 1,366 | 3.9 |
| Daniel O'Malley | Lib Dems | 1,142 | 3.3 |
| Nick Durie | Other | 572 | 1.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Glasgow East SNP, safe seat
- Mid Dunbartonshire Lib Dems, safe seat
- Glasgow West SNP, safe seat
- Glasgow South SNP, safe seat
- Glasgow South West SNP, safe seat
- Glasgow North East SNP, competitive
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated