Wimbledon
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Lib Dems a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 21.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Lib Dems | Conservative | Labour | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wimbledon | 42.4% | 20.4% | 15.5% | 11.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 10.3%+32.1 | 20.4% | 24.3%−8.8 | 23.1%−11.4 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 110,012 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 39 |
| Employment rate | 79.8% |
Current member
Mr Paul Kohler · Lib Dems
Previous election (2024)
The Lib Dems won by 22.9 points.
Our current projection: the Lib Dems ahead by 21.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Kohler Elected | Lib Dems | 24,790 | 45.1 |
| Danielle Dunfield-Prayero | Conservative | 12,180 | 22.2 |
| Eleanor Stringer | Labour | 11,733 | 21.3 |
| Ben Cronin | Reform UK | 3,221 | 5.9 |
| Rachel Brooks | Green | 2,442 | 4.4 |
| Aaron Mafi | Other | 341 | 0.6 |
| Sarah Barber | Other | 129 | 0.2 |
| Amy Lynch | Other | 80 | 0.2 |
| Michael Watson | Other | 69 | 0.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Mitcham and Morden Labour, safe seat
- Sutton and Cheam Lib Dems, safe seat
- Putney Labour, safe seat
- Tooting Labour, safe seat
- Kingston and Surbiton Lib Dems, safe seat
- Chelsea and Fulham Conservative, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated