Romford
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a 61% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.6 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 99%.
Compared with the average
| Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romford | 31.3% | 30.7% | 21.6% | 8.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 20.4%+10.9 | 23.1%+7.7 | 24.3%−2.6 | 10.4%−2.4 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 109,443 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 38 |
| Employment rate | 76.0% |
Current member
Andrew Rosindell · Reform UK
Previous election (2024)
The Conservatives won by 3.3 points.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 1.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Rosindell Elected | Conservative | 15,339 | 34.8 |
| Andrew Achilleos | Labour | 13,876 | 31.5 |
| Philip Hyde | Reform UK | 9,624 | 21.8 |
| David Hughes | Green | 2,220 | 5.0 |
| Thomas Clarke | Lib Dems | 1,895 | 4.3 |
| Zhafaran Qayum | Other | 898 | 2.0 |
| Colin Birch | Other | 195 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Dagenham and Rainham Labour, toss-up
- Hornchurch and Upminster Reform UK, toss-up
- Ilford South Labour, safe seat
- Ilford North Labour, toss-up
- Erith and Thamesmead Labour, safe seat
- Barking Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated