Ilford South
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 12.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Other | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilford South | 32.5% | 20.4% | 15.1% | 15.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+8.2 | 5.0%+15.4 | 23.1%−8.0 | 20.4%−5.4 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 131,400 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 33 |
| Employment rate | 72.5% |
Current member
Jas Athwal · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 12.5 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 12.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jas Athwal Elected | Labour | 16,537 | 40.2 |
| Noor Begum | Other | 9,643 | 23.4 |
| Sayeed Syduzzaman | Conservative | 6,142 | 14.9 |
| Syed Siddiqi | Green | 3,437 | 8.4 |
| Raj Forhad | Reform UK | 2,329 | 5.7 |
| Golam Tipu | Other | 1,366 | 3.3 |
| Richard Clare | Lib Dems | 1,340 | 3.3 |
| Andy Walker | Other | 376 | 0.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Ilford North Labour, toss-up
- Barking Labour, safe seat
- East Ham Labour, safe seat
- Leyton and Wanstead Labour, safe seat
- Stratford and Bow Labour, safe seat
- West Ham and Beckton Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated