Epping Forest
Westminster constituency · England · East of England
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 15.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Conservative | Labour | Reform UK | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epping Forest | 37.0% | 21.3% | 14.3% | 11.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 20.4%+16.6 | 24.3%−2.9 | 23.1%−8.7 | 10.3%+0.9 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 102,670 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 41 |
| Employment rate | 81.0% |
Current member
Dr Neil Hudson · Conservative
Previous election (2024)
The Conservatives won by 13.6 points.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 15.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Hudson Elected | Conservative | 18,038 | 43.2 |
| Rosalind Doré | Labour | 12,356 | 29.6 |
| Jon Whitehouse | Lib Dems | 5,268 | 12.6 |
| Ed Pond | Other | 3,037 | 7.3 |
| Simon Heap | Green | 2,486 | 6.0 |
| Thomas Hall | Other | 568 | 1.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Chingford and Woodford Green Conservative, safe seat
- Broxbourne Conservative, toss-up
- Harlow Reform UK, toss-up
- Ilford North Labour, toss-up
- Hertford and Stortford Reform UK, toss-up
- Leyton and Wanstead Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated