Dewsbury and Batley
Westminster constituency · England · Yorkshire and the Humber
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives another party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 12.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Other | Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dewsbury and Batley | 36.4% | 23.6% | 16.9% | 10.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 5.0%+31.4 | 23.1%+0.5 | 24.3%−7.3 | 20.4%−9.7 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 103,956 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 35 |
| Employment rate | 75.9% |
Current member
Iqbal Mohamed · Independent
Previous election (2024)
Another party won by 18.2 points.
Our current projection: another party ahead by 12.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iqbal Mohamed Elected | Other | 15,641 | 41.1 |
| Heather Iqbal | Labour | 8,707 | 22.9 |
| Johnathan Thackray | Reform UK | 6,152 | 16.2 |
| Lalit Suryawanshi | Conservative | 4,182 | 11.0 |
| Simon Cope | Green | 2,048 | 5.4 |
| John Rossington | Lib Dems | 1,340 | 3.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Spen Valley Reform UK, competitive
- Ossett and Denby Dale Reform UK, toss-up
- Leeds South West and Morley Labour, toss-up
- Huddersfield Green, toss-up
- Leeds West and Pudsey Labour, safe seat
- Bradford South Reform UK, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated