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B.C. votes in 9 days

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Français établis hors de France — 9ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Français établis hors de France

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 42.1 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 57.8%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 15.7%
  • RN and allies 14.5%
  • LR and allies 8.4%
  • Others 3.5%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) RN and allies LR and allies
Français établis hors de France — 9ème circonscription 57.8%15.7%14.5%8.4%
Provincial averageFrançais établis hors de France 35.6%+22.2 33.1%−17.5 16.6%−2.1 10.6%−2.2
National averageFrance 29.0%+28.7 17.0%−1.4 36.0%−21.5 12.2%−3.8

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Karim BEN CHEÏKH · Left (NFP)

Previous election (2024)

The united left won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the united left ahead by 42.1 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Karim BEN CHEÏKH Elected Left (NFP) 18,505 51.6
Samira DJOUADI Centre (Ensemble) 5,634 15.7
Elodie CHARRON RN and allies 3,817 10.6
Ismaël BOUDJEKADA Left (NFP) 1,421 4.0
Jihad BADREDDINE LR and allies 1,242 3.5
Erwan Borhan DAVOUX LR and allies 1,222 3.4
Seddik KHALFI Left (NFP) 1,171 3.3
Rachid TAHIRI Centre (Ensemble) 1,102 3.1
Régina DUCELLIER Centre (Ensemble) 693 1.9
Pierre DREVON RN and allies 311 0.9
Hassan OUDRHIRI Others 236 0.7
Sébastien PERIMONY Others 172 0.5
Kourtoum SACKHO LR and allies 117 0.3
Gabriel Marie SIDIBÉ Others 84 0.2
Rania Tessa MAACHOU Others 61 0.2
Hachim FADILI Sovereignists 53 0.2
Edouard TINAUGUS Left (NFP) 20 0.1
Khadija DAVID Left (NFP) 11 0.0
Abdoulai DIANIFABA Others 8 0.0

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated