Bicester and Woodstock
Westminster constituency · England · South East
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Lib Dems a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Lib Dems | Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bicester and Woodstock | 34.9% | 24.8% | 19.2% | 11.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 10.3%+24.6 | 20.4%+4.4 | 23.1%−3.9 | 24.3%−13.1 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 102,891 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 41 |
| Employment rate | 89.3% |
Current member
Calum Miller · Lib Dems
Previous election (2024)
The Lib Dems won by 9.9 points.
Our current projection: the Lib Dems ahead by 10.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calum Miller Elected | Lib Dems | 19,419 | 38.7 |
| Rupert Harrison | Conservative | 14,461 | 28.8 |
| Veronica Oakeshott | Labour | 8,236 | 16.4 |
| Augustine Obodo | Reform UK | 5,408 | 10.8 |
| Ian Middleton | Green | 2,404 | 4.8 |
| Tim Funnell | Other | 291 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Oxford East Labour, safe seat
- Oxford West and Abingdon Lib Dems, safe seat
- Banbury Conservative, toss-up
- Didcot and Wantage Lib Dems, safe seat
- Henley and Thame Lib Dems, safe seat
- Witney Lib Dems, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated