France · 2027 presidential poll

OpinionWay — September 3, 2026

Fieldwork
September 2, 2026 → September 3, 2026
Sample
1,003 respondents
Published
September 3, 2026
Pollster release
Pollster release →

First round, voting intention

  • Marine Le Pen 34%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon 17%
  • Édouard Philippe 15%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann 11%
  • Gabriel Attal 7%
  • Bruno Retailleau 7%
  • Marine Tondelier 3%
  • Éric Zemmour 3%
  • Fabien Roussel 2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud 1%

Our reading of this poll

Since the pollster’s previous wave (July 9, 2026), same lineup:

  • Mélenchon 13% → 17% (+4 pts)
  • Philippe 18% → 15% (−3 pts)
  • Glucksmann 9% → 11% (+2 pts)
See the previous wave →
Where each candidacy takes its votes from: the candidacy effect →

This poll tested 3 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Philippe, Attal

  • Marine Le Pen34%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
  • Édouard Philippe15%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann11%
  • Gabriel Attal7%
  • Bruno Retailleau7%
  • Marine Tondelier3%
  • Éric Zemmour3%
  • Fabien Roussel2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 2 · with Attal

  • Marine Le Pen35%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann13%
  • Gabriel Attal13%
  • Bruno Retailleau11%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Éric Zemmour3%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 3 · with Philippe

  • Marine Le Pen33%
  • Édouard Philippe20%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann12%
  • Bruno Retailleau8%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Éric Zemmour3%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

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