France · 2027 presidential poll
OpinionWay — September 3, 2026
First round, voting intention
Our reading of this poll
Since the pollster’s previous wave (July 9, 2026), same lineup:
- Mélenchon 13% → 17% (+4 pts)
- Philippe 18% → 15% (−3 pts)
- Glucksmann 9% → 11% (+2 pts)
This poll tested 3 candidate line-ups
French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.
Line-up 1 · with Philippe, Attal
- Marine Le Pen34%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
- Édouard Philippe15%
- Raphaël Glucksmann11%
- Gabriel Attal7%
- Bruno Retailleau7%
- Marine Tondelier3%
- Éric Zemmour3%
- Fabien Roussel2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
Line-up 2 · with Attal
- Marine Le Pen35%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
- Raphaël Glucksmann13%
- Gabriel Attal13%
- Bruno Retailleau11%
- Marine Tondelier4%
- Fabien Roussel3%
- Éric Zemmour3%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
Line-up 3 · with Philippe
- Marine Le Pen33%
- Édouard Philippe20%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
- Raphaël Glucksmann12%
- Bruno Retailleau8%
- Marine Tondelier4%
- Fabien Roussel3%
- Éric Zemmour3%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.
Our weighted average and projection → All 2027 presidential polls →