France · 2027 presidential poll

Ipsos — September 9, 2026

Fieldwork
September 3, 2026 → September 9, 2026
Sample
13,060 respondents
Published
September 9, 2026
Pollster release
Pollster release →

First round, voting intention

  • Marine Le Pen 34%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon 16.5%
  • Édouard Philippe 16%
  • Gabriel Attal 7.5%
  • Bruno Retailleau 7%
  • Marine Tondelier 5%
  • Olivier Faure 4.5%
  • Éric Zemmour 4%
  • Fabien Roussel 3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud 0.5%

Our reading of this poll

Compared with our average for the same lineup (“Le Pen · Philippe · Attal · Glucksmann”):

  • Glucksmann 11.5% vs 9.3% (+2.2 pts)
  • Zemmour 4% vs 5.3% (−1.3 pt)
  • Attal 6% vs 7.1% (−1.1 pt)

Since the pollster’s previous wave (September 2, 2026), same lineup:

  • Attal 8.5% → 7.5% (−1 pt)
  • Retailleau 6% → 7% (+1 pt)
  • Zemmour 3% → 4% (+1 pt)
See the previous wave →
Where each candidacy takes its votes from: the candidacy effect →

This poll tested 6 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Philippe, Attal, Faure

  • Marine Le Pen34%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon16.5%
  • Édouard Philippe16%
  • Gabriel Attal7.5%
  • Bruno Retailleau7%
  • Marine Tondelier5%
  • Olivier Faure4.5%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud0.5%

Line-up 2 · with Philippe, Glucksmann, Attal

  • Marine Le Pen33%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon15.5%
  • Édouard Philippe14%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann11.5%
  • Bruno Retailleau7%
  • Gabriel Attal6%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Fabien Roussel2.5%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud0.5%

Line-up 3 · with Philippe, Glucksmann

  • Marine Le Pen33.5%
  • Édouard Philippe17.5%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon15.5%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann12.5%
  • Bruno Retailleau8%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Fabien Roussel2.5%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud0.5%

Line-up 4 · with Attal, Faure

  • Marine Le Pen35%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
  • Gabriel Attal15.5%
  • Bruno Retailleau10.5%
  • Marine Tondelier5.5%
  • Olivier Faure5.5%
  • Éric Zemmour4.5%
  • Fabien Roussel3.5%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2.5%
  • Nathalie Arthaud0.5%

Line-up 5 · with Glucksmann, Attal

  • Marine Le Pen34%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon15.5%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann13.5%
  • Gabriel Attal13%
  • Bruno Retailleau10%
  • Marine Tondelier4.5%
  • Éric Zemmour4.5%
  • Fabien Roussel2.5%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud0.5%

Line-up 6 · with Philippe, Faure

  • Marine Le Pen34.5%
  • Édouard Philippe21%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon16.5%
  • Bruno Retailleau7.5%
  • Marine Tondelier5.5%
  • Olivier Faure5%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Fabien Roussel3.5%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud0.5%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

Our weighted average and projection → All 2027 presidential polls →

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