France · 2027 presidential poll

Ipsos — September 2, 2026

Fieldwork
August 31, 2026 → September 2, 2026
Sample
1,500 respondents
Published
September 2, 2026
Pollster release
Pollster release →

First round, voting intention

  • Marine Le Pen 34.5%
  • Édouard Philippe 16.5%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon 16%
  • Gabriel Attal 8.5%
  • Bruno Retailleau 6%
  • Marine Tondelier 5%
  • Olivier Faure 4.5%
  • Fabien Roussel 3%
  • Éric Zemmour 3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud 1%

Our reading of this poll

Compared with our average for the same lineup (“Le Pen · Philippe · Attal · Glucksmann”):

  • Zemmour 3% vs 5.3% (−2.3 pts)
  • Glucksmann 11.5% vs 9.3% (+2.2 pts)
  • Retailleau 6% vs 7.6% (−1.6 pt)
Where each candidacy takes its votes from: the candidacy effect →

This poll tested 6 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Philippe, Attal, Faure

  • Marine Le Pen34.5%
  • Édouard Philippe16.5%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
  • Gabriel Attal8.5%
  • Bruno Retailleau6%
  • Marine Tondelier5%
  • Olivier Faure4.5%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Éric Zemmour3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 2 · with Philippe, Glucksmann, Attal

  • Marine Le Pen34%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
  • Édouard Philippe14.5%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann11.5%
  • Gabriel Attal7.5%
  • Bruno Retailleau6%
  • Marine Tondelier3.5%
  • Éric Zemmour3%
  • Fabien Roussel2.5%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud0.5%

Line-up 3 · with Philippe, Glucksmann

  • Marine Le Pen34.5%
  • Édouard Philippe19%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann12%
  • Bruno Retailleau7.5%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Éric Zemmour3%
  • Fabien Roussel2.5%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud0.5%

Line-up 4 · with Attal, Faure

  • Marine Le Pen36%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
  • Gabriel Attal15.5%
  • Bruno Retailleau10%
  • Marine Tondelier5.5%
  • Olivier Faure5.5%
  • Fabien Roussel3.5%
  • Éric Zemmour3.5%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2.5%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 5 · with Glucksmann, Attal

  • Marine Le Pen35%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann14%
  • Gabriel Attal14%
  • Bruno Retailleau9.5%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Éric Zemmour3%
  • Fabien Roussel2.5%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2.5%
  • Nathalie Arthaud0.5%

Line-up 6 · with Philippe, Faure

  • Marine Le Pen34.5%
  • Édouard Philippe22.5%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon16.5%
  • Bruno Retailleau7.5%
  • Marine Tondelier5%
  • Olivier Faure4.5%
  • Fabien Roussel3.5%
  • Éric Zemmour3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

Our weighted average and projection → All 2027 presidential polls →

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