France · 2027 presidential poll
OpinionWay — September 9, 2026
First round, voting intention
Our reading of this poll
Compared with our average for the same lineup (“Le Pen · Philippe · Attal · Glucksmann”):
- Philippe 15% vs 13.2% (+1.8 pt)
- Mélenchon 15% vs 16.4% (−1.4 pt)
- Zemmour 4% vs 5.3% (−1.3 pt)
This poll tested 3 candidate line-ups
French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.
Line-up 1 · with Philippe, Attal
- Marine Le Pen34%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
- Édouard Philippe15%
- Raphaël Glucksmann9%
- Gabriel Attal8%
- Bruno Retailleau8%
- Éric Zemmour4%
- Marine Tondelier3%
- Fabien Roussel2%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
Line-up 2 · with Philippe
- Marine Le Pen34%
- Édouard Philippe19%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
- Raphaël Glucksmann10%
- Bruno Retailleau10%
- Éric Zemmour4%
- Marine Tondelier3%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
- Fabien Roussel1%
Line-up 3 · with Attal
- Marine Le Pen33%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
- Gabriel Attal14%
- Raphaël Glucksmann12%
- Bruno Retailleau12%
- Marine Tondelier4%
- Éric Zemmour4%
- Fabien Roussel2%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.
Our weighted average and projection → All 2027 presidential polls →