France · 2027 presidential poll

OpinionWay — September 9, 2026

Fieldwork
September 8, 2026 → September 9, 2026
Sample
1,001 respondents
Published
September 9, 2026
Pollster release
Pollster release →

First round, voting intention

  • Marine Le Pen 34%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon 15%
  • Édouard Philippe 15%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann 9%
  • Gabriel Attal 8%
  • Bruno Retailleau 8%
  • Éric Zemmour 4%
  • Marine Tondelier 3%
  • Fabien Roussel 2%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud 1%

Our reading of this poll

Compared with our average for the same lineup (“Le Pen · Philippe · Attal · Glucksmann”):

  • Philippe 15% vs 13.2% (+1.8 pt)
  • Mélenchon 15% vs 16.4% (−1.4 pt)
  • Zemmour 4% vs 5.3% (−1.3 pt)
Where each candidacy takes its votes from: the candidacy effect →

This poll tested 3 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Philippe, Attal

  • Marine Le Pen34%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
  • Édouard Philippe15%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann9%
  • Gabriel Attal8%
  • Bruno Retailleau8%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Marine Tondelier3%
  • Fabien Roussel2%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 2 · with Philippe

  • Marine Le Pen34%
  • Édouard Philippe19%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann10%
  • Bruno Retailleau10%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Marine Tondelier3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%
  • Fabien Roussel1%

Line-up 3 · with Attal

  • Marine Le Pen33%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
  • Gabriel Attal14%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann12%
  • Bruno Retailleau12%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Fabien Roussel2%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

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