France · 2027 presidential poll

OpinionWay — July 9, 2026

Fieldwork: July 8, 2026 → July 9, 2026
Sample: 963 respondents
Published: July 9, 2026
Pollster release: Pollster release →

First round, voting intention

Marine Le Pen 35%
Édouard Philippe 18%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13%
Raphaël Glucksmann 9%
Bruno Retailleau 8%
Gabriel Attal 7%
Marine Tondelier 5%
Éric Zemmour 3%
Fabien Roussel 2%
Nathalie Arthaud 1%

This poll tested 3 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Philippe, Attal

Marine Le Pen35%
Édouard Philippe18%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
Raphaël Glucksmann9%
Bruno Retailleau8%
Gabriel Attal7%
Marine Tondelier5%
Éric Zemmour3%
Fabien Roussel2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 2 · with Attal

Marine Le Pen36%
Gabriel Attal16%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
Bruno Retailleau12%
Raphaël Glucksmann10%
Marine Tondelier5%
Éric Zemmour3%
Fabien Roussel2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 3 · with Philippe

Marine Le Pen34%
Édouard Philippe22%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
Raphaël Glucksmann9%
Bruno Retailleau9%
Marine Tondelier4%
Éric Zemmour4%
Fabien Roussel2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

Our weighted average and projection → All 2027 presidential polls →

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