IFOP — July 8, 2026

First round, voting intention

• Marine Le Pen 36%
• Édouard Philippe 19%
• Jean-Luc Mélenchon 15%
• Raphaël Glucksmann 9%
• Bruno Retailleau 8%
• Éric Zemmour 4%
• Marine Tondelier 3.5%
• Fabien Roussel 3%
• Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 2%
• Nathalie Arthaud 0.5%

Run-off match-ups tested

• null 30% — 70% null
• null 46% — 54% null
• null 45% — 55% null

This poll tested 2 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

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