France · 2027 presidential poll

Harris Interactive — July 8, 2026

Fieldwork
July 7, 2026 → July 8, 2026
Sample
1,582 respondents
Published
July 8, 2026
Pollster release
Pollster release →

First round, voting intention

  • Marine Le Pen 35%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon 16%
  • Édouard Philippe 14%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann 10%
  • Gabriel Attal 8%
  • Bruno Retailleau 7%
  • Éric Zemmour 4%
  • Fabien Roussel 2%
  • Marine Tondelier 2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud 1%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 1%

Run-off match-ups tested

  • null 33% — 67% null
  • null 49% — 51% null
  • null 45% — 55% null

This poll tested 5 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Philippe, Glucksmann, Attal

  • Marine Le Pen35%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
  • Édouard Philippe14%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann10%
  • Gabriel Attal8%
  • Bruno Retailleau7%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Fabien Roussel2%
  • Marine Tondelier2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1%

Line-up 2 · with Philippe, Glucksmann

  • Marine Le Pen34%
  • Édouard Philippe20%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann11%
  • Bruno Retailleau8%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Marine Tondelier3%
  • Fabien Roussel2%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 3 · with Philippe, Hollande

  • Marine Le Pen35%
  • Édouard Philippe20%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
  • François Hollande8%
  • Bruno Retailleau8%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1%

Line-up 4 · with Attal, Glucksmann

  • Marine Le Pen36%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
  • Gabriel Attal16%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann11%
  • Bruno Retailleau9%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Marine Tondelier3%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1%

Line-up 5 · with Attal, Hollande

  • Marine Le Pen36%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
  • Gabriel Attal16%
  • François Hollande8%
  • Bruno Retailleau8%
  • Marine Tondelier5%
  • Éric Zemmour5%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

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